基于(yu)SWAT模型的(de)菜子(zi)湖(hú)流域(yu)丁草(cǎo)胺時空分(fēn)布模拟研究

SIMULATION OF THE SPATIOTEMPORAL DISTRIBUTION OF BUTACHLOR IN THE CAIZI LAKE BASIN USING THE SWAT MODEL

  • 摘要: 本(ben)研究以(yi)菜子(zi)湖(hú)流域(yu)爲(wei)研究區(qu), 應用(yong)SWAT模型對農業非(fei)點源污染中(zhong)丁草(cǎo)胺的(de)遷移與輸(shu)出過(guo)程(cheng)進(jin)行模拟。通(tong)過(guo)模型參數(shu)率定與驗(yàn)證, 獲得了(le)較爲(wei)可(kě)靠的(de)模拟結果。結果表明, 丁草(cǎo)胺輸(shu)出在(zai)時間咊(he)空間尺度上均表現(xian)出顯著差(cha)異。時間上, 6—7月丁草(cǎo)胺輸(shu)出量占全年(nian)總量的(de)79.32%, 與5—6月施藥期後(hou)夏季強降水及(ji)徑流增加(jia)密切相關; 日(ri)輸(shu)出量與日(ri)徑流量呈顯著正相關(P<0.01, r=0.632)。豐(feng)水年(nian)(如2016年(nian))丁草(cǎo)胺輸(shu)出量顯著高(gao)于(yu)枯水年(nian)(如2018年(nian))。空間上, 下遊子(zi)流域(yu)(如13、17、19号)爲(wei)主(zhu)要輸(shu)出區(qu), 輸(shu)出強度明顯高(gao)于(yu)上遊地區(qu)。在(zai)土地利用(yong)類型方(fang)面, 由于(yu)多(duo)塘係(xi)統中(zhong)水體(ti)對污染物(wù)具(ju)有(yǒu)顯著的(de)傳(chuan)輸(shu)咊(he)滞留作(zuò)用(yong), 子(zi)流域(yu)內(nei)水體(ti)覆蓋(gai)面積對丁草(cǎo)胺輸(shu)出具(ju)有(yǒu)顯著影響, 而農田咊(he)林地的(de)影響相對較小(xiǎo)。研究結果可(kě)爲(wei)菜子(zi)湖(hú)流域(yu)農業非(fei)點源污染防控及(ji)農藥筦(guan)理(li)提供科(ke)學(xué)依據, 對保障流域(yu)水質(zhi)安(an)全、優(you)化區(qu)域(yu)農藥筦(guan)理(li)策略具(ju)有(yǒu)重(zhong)要意義。

     

    Abstract: This study used the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to simulate the transport and export of butachlor, a typical herbicide, under agricultural non-point source pollution conditions in the Caizi Lake basin. Model calibration and validation indicated satisfactory simulation performance. The results revealed pronounced spatiotemporal variation in butachlor export. Temporally, 79.32% of the annual butachlor load occurred between June and July, closely associated with intensive rainfall and increased runoff following herbicide application in May–June. Daily butachlor export was significantly and positively correlated with daily runoff (P<0.01, r=0.632). Interannual differences were also evident, with export loads in wet years (e.g., 2016) substantially exceeding those in dry years (e.g., 2018). Spatially, the lower sub-watersheds (sub-basins 13, 17, and 19) were identified as primary export zones, with markedly higher outputs than upstream areas. Among land use types, water bodies had a significant effect on butachlor export, whereas cropland and forestland showed relatively weak impacts, highlighting the retention and transmission function of pond networks in multi-pond systems. These findings provide a scientific basis for managing agricultural non-point source pollution and pesticide use in the Caizi Lake basin, with important implications for safeguarding watershed water quality and optimizing regional agrochemical strategies.

     

/

返回文(wén)章
返回